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Gold Miners Investors Change Their Mindset

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Gold Miners Investors Change Their Mindset

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The global investor market place is currently focused on wealth protection and insuring against downside risk, rather than on finding outsize returns.

This is one of the reasons behind the massive increase in intrest in gold seen over the second quarter of 2010 says Jason Toussaint, MD for investments at the World Gold Council.

Speaking on Mineweb.com’s Gold Miners Weekly Podcast on the day the WGC launched their Gold Demand Trends publication for the second quarter of 2010, Toussaint, said, “The majority of the inflows year-to-date of that 253 tonnes [of gold miners investment] occurred during the months of May and June. If we rewind the clock back to then and understand what was occurring in the world at that time, we had lingering effects from the currency crisis in Europe, the re-emergence of worries about the future of the global economy and the ability of governments globally to pay their sovereign debt – so a sovereign debt crisis of sorts.”

He added that the growth in gold miners investment interest was particularly noticeable in Europe where both ETFs and bar and coin demand rose.

“Certainly for the first half of the year, there was acknowledgment globally that the effects of the global crisis are far from over. So gold miners investors are becoming more conservative and particularly in Europe these figures indicate there is re-acknowledgement of gold investment – in this case, physical.

But, Toussaint believes that while this spike in demand, especially in Europe is partly the result of sentiments around the likelihood of further financial turmoil to come he says a far more important reason is that the view of gold as only useful as an investment of last resort is becoming antiquated.

“What we’re seeing now is more of a move in understanding of gold’s role as a strategic asset class for the long term. And let’s not forget, against the backdrop of 2008, when most global equity markets return negative 50% or more – having an investor lose half of their wealth and then buy gold, is kind of too late.

“So, investors say we’re either really good at predicting future crises which are occurring more frequently, or should we have some gold in our portfolio up to a certain percentage, which they deem appropriate for the long run – in case there are future shocks that there will be this kind of portfolio baseline asset that will protect at least a portion of our wealth.”

Indeed, Toussaint maintains, there has been a paradigm shift in the investment segment of the market, which was led by the rise of the gold backed exchange traded fund.

“In the second quarter we had 1,050 tonnes of aggregate demand – that’s a 36% increase year-on-year against the gold price at the same time that was going up – increased by 30%. So although the price of gold went up, the total demand went up and to your point the investment segment really led that.

” ETFs… made gold investable to many classes of investors, really for the first time – because if we look back before the ETFs were introduced, transacting and investing in physical bullion required you to find a place to transact it, which then requires you to understand price discovery mechanisms….those extra hurdles of investment put a cap or limited the investor market place.”

Provided by: Geoff Candy from http://www.mineweb.com

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